Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.234041 0.269278 0.307155 0.350793 0.399574 0.452316 0.513544
2026-02-01 0.174593 0.221420 0.275859 0.343384 0.424421 0.518052 0.633890
2026-02-08 0.133084 0.185330 0.250743 0.337597 0.448699 0.584774 0.762591
2026-02-15 0.102476 0.156296 0.228639 0.331003 0.469807 0.648911 0.894473
2026-02-22 0.083405 0.138524 0.217632 0.336185 0.505442 0.733943 1.060343
2026-03-01 0.066310 0.119898 0.201921 0.331827 0.526532 0.800655 1.207184
2026-03-08 0.054081 0.106072 0.190639 0.331594 0.552403 0.875173 1.369959
2026-03-15 0.043520 0.092623 0.177441 0.326007 0.568768 0.936389 1.517555
2026-03-22 0.038134 0.087147 0.176300 0.339146 0.614747 1.044394 1.740839
2026-03-29 0.033585 0.082223 0.175173 0.351784 0.660582 1.154987 1.974877
2026-04-05 0.028521 0.075077 0.168734 0.354021 0.688829 1.239359 2.173178
2026-04-12 0.024018 0.068037 0.161248 0.353120 0.711087 1.314961 2.361549
2026-04-19 0.020059 0.061349 0.153521 0.351048 0.731548 1.389934 2.555399
2026-04-26 0.016807 0.055516 0.146560 0.349475 0.752583 1.467158 2.757654
2026-05-03 0.014059 0.050206 0.139777 0.347266 0.771985 1.542601 2.961169
2026-05-10 0.011644 0.045075 0.132437 0.342798 0.786362 1.609784 3.154077
2026-05-17 0.010205 0.042394 0.130456 0.349601 0.823363 1.719777 3.427139
2026-05-24 0.008510 0.038329 0.124237 0.346009 0.838816 1.790900 3.634979
2026-05-31 0.007244 0.035255 0.119994 0.346343 0.862223 1.878042 3.875777
2026-06-07 0.005983 0.031702 0.113718 0.340904 0.872694 1.940893 4.075167
2026-06-14 0.005487 0.030936 0.115218 0.354782 0.926162 2.089943 4.440903
2026-06-21 0.005021 0.030123 0.116436 0.368062 0.979272 2.241044 4.817136
2026-06-28 0.004344 0.028113 0.113611 0.370481 1.008020 2.345080 5.108898